How Will Climate Refugees Impact National Security?

The border between Bangladesh and India may offer a preview of how climate change could destabilize national borders














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An 'adaptive capacity' at work

Bangladesh officials, meanwhile, say the fence and everything it represents are just distractions. The country needs to build embankments, they say. It needs cyclone shelters and rice research. And it needs to address the already explosive internal migration to its capital city, Dhaka, an issue that rarely makes it into dramatic climate change reports.

"Prevention isn't sexy," said Omar Rahman, president of the Independent University, Bangladesh, in Dhaka.

"We shouldn't close our eyes to the possibility of [mass migration] happening, but I don't think it should distract from more immediate needs," he said.

Niels Veenis, first secretary for water management at the Embassy of the Netherlands in Bangladesh, said he sees some signs of progress. A participatory water management project in parts of the country, he noted, has been helping communities wrest infrastructure maintenance out of the hands of underfunded, undermanned central governments and into their own hands.

As to the larger threat of mass migration, Veenis said, "The threat is there. If you don't manage the threat, then yes, you're looking at a very dire situation. But Bangladesh has been given the natural tools to do something."

Paskal, of the Royal Institute, said Bangladesh, by pouring money and research into new ways to deal with climate change, is actually protecting the world from conflict.

"We need a stable India, and [climate migration] has the potential to destabilize India," she said. "If we try to put pressure on India to take in refugees, we're undermining our credibility in India's eyes."

But, Paskal said, Bangladesh "is a nation of serious, hard-working people. It is their adaptive capacity that is cushioning us from some of the worst impacts."

Reprinted from Greenwire with permission from Environment & Energy Publishing, LLC. www.eenews.net, 202-628-6500


4 Comments

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  1. 1. eco-steve 06:56 PM 3/23/09

    India is not responsable for the climate-based migration from Bangladesh. But The US and EU amongst others are. The UN refugee Commission should apportion blame and organise any necessary evacuations. Are the public of the US and EU prepared for the mass influx of 10,000,000 extra refugees? This should help republicans decide to finally take some serious measures to ward off climate change...

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  2. 2. Mithremakor 04:03 PM 3/24/09

    This may convince a few moderate republicans but the neo-cons are not only ignorant, they are proud of their ignorance and refuse to give it up. They will never stop denying global warming.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  3. 3. neoguru 10:40 AM 3/25/09

    And this is supposed to be science??? Scientific American has become a political voice with a definite agenda and has abandoned good science. It is becoming a joke.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  4. 4. danbloom 05:11 AM 3/22/12

    Readers intersted in a good sci fi yarn about these climate chaos
    issues might want to sit down this summer with a copy of Jim
    Laughter's new cli fi novel titled POLAR CITY RED. Not released yet,
    but soon. Launch day is April 22 on Earth Day worldwide, but
    background fyi info is avail on Google by the title. Not for sale yet,
    so this is NOT a commercial come on. Just a heads up!


    BOOK FYi HERE
    http://pcofftherails101.blogspot.com/2012/03/my-dot-jim-laughter-talks-about-how-he.html

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
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