If a Country Sinks Beneath the Sea, Is It Still a Country?

If entire populations are forced to relocate by rising seas as a result of climate change, do they remain citizens of a vanished country?


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SINKING FEELING: Some low-lying island nations, including Tuvalu in the Pacific Ocean, Kiribati northeast of Australia, and the Maldives in the Indian Ocean, are especially vulnerable to rising sea levels. Image: NASA

Rising ocean levels brought about by climate change have created a flood of unprecedented legal questions for small island nations and their neighbors.

Among them: If a country disappears, is it still a country? Does it keep its seat at the United Nations? Who controls its offshore mineral rights? Its shipping lanes? Its fish?

And if entire populations are forced to relocate -- as could be the case with citizens of the Maldives, Tuvalu, Kiribati and other small island states facing extinction -- what citizenship, if any, can those displaced people claim?

Until recently, such questions of sovereignty and human rights have been the domain of a scattered group of lawyers and academics. But now the Republic of the Marshall Islands -- a Micronesian nation of 29 low-lying coral atolls in the North Pacific -- is campaigning to stockpile a body of knowledge it hopes will turn international attention to vulnerable countries' plights.

"At the current negotiating sessions and climate change meetings, nobody is truly addressing the legal and human rights effects of climate change," said Phillip Muller, the Marshall Islands' ambassador to the United Nations.

"If the Marshall Islands ceases to exist, are we still going to own the sea resources? Are we still going to be asked for permission to fish? What are the rights that we will have? And we are also mindful that we may need to relocate. We're hoping it will never happen, but we have to be ready. There are a lot of issues we need to know the answer to and be able to tell our citizens what is happening," he said.

Frustrated by the dearth of answers to the questions he was posing, Muller said, Marshall Islands leaders contacted Columbia Law School. Michael Gerrard, who leads the law school's Center for Climate Change Law, picked up the challenge and issued a call for papers.

Theoretical questions become real
Gerrard, who is arranging a conference sponsored by Columbia University's Earth Institute next year, said that when he began reaching out to scholars, he realized most were working in isolation from one another. And, he said, some of the most ticklish legal questions facing small island nations have been understudied -- because until recently, the notion of a country's extinction has been largely theoretical.

"The prospect of a nation drowning is so horrific that it's hard to imagine," Gerrard said. Moreover, he added, until just a few years ago, it was difficult to have a conversation in the international community about how countries might adapt to climate change.

"There was a concern that it would divert focus from mitigation. But now people recognize that even with the most aggressive imaginable mitigation measures, the climate situation will get worse before it gets better, and we have to begin making serious preparation," he said.

The plight of refugees is the most emotional of the looming questions. Deciding where to relocate citizens is just the beginning for a disappearing nation. Still unanswered: What will the political status of those displaced people be? Will they assimilate into the culture and economy of their new host country, or will they retain a separate identity?

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) estimates that rising sea levels, saltwater intrusion and accelerated coastal erosion could lead to as many as 200 million environmentally induced migrants worldwide by 2050.

The Carteret Islanders of Papua New Guinea could be some of the world's first climate "refugees." The land is expected to be under water by 2015, and Papua New Guinea's mission to the United Nations has already announced it would evacuate the approximately 2,000 islanders to Bougainville Island -- about a four-hour boat ride away.


Climatewire

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  1. 1. frgough 06:48 PM 8/23/10

    Well, considering that no island is disappearing, and no country is going to wind up underwater, and that sea levels really aren't rising like everyone thought they were, what point does this article serve exactly? Oh, right. Environmentalist propaganda.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  2. 2. Semiahmoo 12:53 AM 8/24/10

    "Environmentalist" is just a label tagged onto unrelated people who are justifiably concerned about the environment. They have no propaganda. However, right-wing groups are paying people, perhaps frgough, to write disparaging comments on the theory that a lie told often enough becomes the truth.

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  3. 3. Zeraphil 12:42 PM 8/24/10

    I vote for naming it Atlantis.

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  4. 4. tichead 12:32 AM 8/26/10

    Welcome to "Waterwold".

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  5. 5. Lawrence MacDonald 06:38 PM 8/30/10

    Congratulations, Lisa, on an excellent report on an alarming reality.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  6. 6. supertexan 12:53 PM 9/6/10

    Hey is there any sort of solid evidence that the oceans are actually rising? I fully expect to be inundated with links to articles about the subject that still don't prove they are, that's how you guys operate, bury a "denier" in garbage that barely address the topic and act like you've proven your case beyond any reasonable doubt. It works of course because nobody but me will actually check them. Just hoping that for once somebody will admit that there isn't any yet. That would be refreshingly honest.

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  7. 7. mo98 03:45 AM 9/11/10

    What did China do at Copenhagen? Let's not bow to highly financed dogmatic insularity: Just take a look outside the box to participate:
    Places to Remember before they disappear.
    http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/sci/2010-05/13/c_13291053.htm

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
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