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From the December 2007 Special Editions | 25 comments

Is There Really an Autism Epidemic? ( Preview )

A closer look at the statistics suggests something more than a simple rise in incidence

By Scott O. Lilienfeld and Hal Arkowitz   

 

Changing Criteria

Making matters more confusing, ample reason exists to question the very existence of the autism epidemic. Vaccines may be what scientists call an “explanation in search of a phenomenon.” As University of Wisconsin–Madison psychologists Morton Ann Gernsbacher and H. Hill Goldsmith and University of Montreal researcher Michelle Dawson noted in a 2005 review, there is an often overlooked alternative explanation for the epidemic: changes in diagnostic practices. Over time the criteria for a diagnosis of autism have loosened, resulting in the labeling of substantially more mildly afflicted individuals as autistic.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)
SCOTT O. LILIENFELD and HAL ARKOWITZ are columnists for Scientific American Mind. Lilienfeld is a psychology professor at Emory University, and Arkowitz is a psychology professor at the University of Arizona.

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