Mass Transits: Kepler Mission Releases Data on Hundreds of Possible Exoplanets

NASA's planet hunter has identified more than 700 candidate extrasolar worlds that have yet to be confirmed, including some that may be Earth-size















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Kepler spacecraft field of view

LOOKOUT: The Kepler spacecraft tracks more than 150,000 stars in the Milky Way, looking for regular dimming effects that could indicate the presence of planets there. Image: Carter Roberts/NASA

The Kepler spacecraft, launched in 2009 to scour distant stellar systems for Earth-like planets, has yet to attain that lofty goal, but it is now returning a flood of data about all manner of planets outside the solar system. On June 15, the Kepler team released information on possible planets identified in the first month or so of the spacecraft's three-plus-year mission—a massive set of more than 300 candidates that promises to significantly augment the known catalogue of extrasolar planets. The data were published online at the preprint repository arXiv.org and will be submitted to The Astrophysical Journal.

On top of that bountiful, publicly released haul, the Kepler team is holding onto a list of 400 of the most intriguing potential host stars for further observation. With these two sets of objects, Kepler is poised to rewrite the catalogue of known exoplanets, which currently contains about 450 objects, including five confirmed exoplanets that the Kepler team announced in January.

At least a dozen of the candidates are of comparable size to COROT 7 b, the smallest exoplanet known at just 1.6 times the diameter of Earth, and some are estimated to be slightly smaller. And those are just the smallest contestants from the set the Kepler team has not retained for follow-up observation. The withheld set of 400 possible stellar systems contains objects that appear even smaller, perhaps as small as Earth. "The cat is out of the bag," says Natalie Batalha, a professor of physics and astronomy at San Jose State University and a co-investigator on the Kepler team. "Kepler has seen Earth-size planet candidates."

But before COROT 7 b loses its crown as the smallest known exoplanet, Kepler's candidates must be verified with more data to rule out planetary decoys. "We fully expect half of the candidates to be false positives," Batalha says. One common false positive is an eclipsing binary star behind one of Kepler's target stars; the background light blocked by such an eclipse can mimic the periodic dimming that Kepler uses to identify planets passing in front of its target stars. The spacecraft, trained on a patch of more than 150,000 stars near the constellation Cygnus, trails Earth as both orbit the sun.

Without follow-up observations, fine details on the 312 publicly released candidates remain scarce—Kepler can determine a planet's diameter but not its mass, for instance. But even the rough outlines of the Kepler sample are intriguing.

For instance, more than half of Kepler's newly announced candidates are smaller than Neptune. That stands in stark contrast to the current catalogue of exoplanets, which because of observational biases is loaded with gas giant–size worlds; of the nearly 100 catalogued exoplanets whose diameters are known, all but two are Neptune-size or larger.

Kepler may also have spotted the first planetary system in which more than one planet can be seen passing in front of its star. One star in the public data set bears the signature of three distinct planets causing periodic dimming effects, and four more stars show the possible presence of two planets apiece. Such multiple-planet systems have been difficult to spot by Kepler's chosen search method—the monitoring of stars for planet-induced shading events known as transits—because the planets' orbits must be almost perfectly planar so both are aligned with the space telescope's line of sight.

But the ultimate prize of Kepler's hunt, a potentially habitable terrestrial world in an Earth-like orbit around a sunlike star, remains years away. The Kepler team's protocols require that three transits must be recorded, along with other observations, before a candidate can be confirmed as a true planet, and an Earth-like orbit will carry a planet into Kepler's view just once a year. (The planetary transits that Kepler looks for only occur once per planetary orbit, when the three objects—the planet, the host star and Kepler—fall into alignment. For a planet that takes around one Earth year to circle its star the transit would occur once annually.) With that requirement, plus time for data processing and confirmation, a true Earth–sun analogue will not be announced until after the end of the three- and-a-half-year mission, Batalha says.

In the meantime, the public data release should spur a rash of independent involvement as astronomers work to confirm the candidates Kepler has identified. "We're calling it an embarrassment of riches—so many candidates," Batalha says. "It's become abundantly clear that we're not going to be able to follow up all of these candidates ourselves."

The decision to allow Kepler scientists to keep some of their data private until February 2011 has drawn criticism from some fellow researchers. Jon Morse, director of the astrophysics division for NASA's Science Mission Directorate, addressed the issue in May during a town hall with astronomers at the semiannual meeting of the American Astronomical Society in Miami. Morse explained that launch delays had caused the Kepler team to miss much of its annual follow-up season, the months when the spacecraft's target stars are in view from telescopes on Earth. "Having the team be able to hold back 400 or so targets to do some follow-up from the ground to look for false positives was consistent" with the spirit of the original data release agreement, Morse said. "Folks in this room understand the concept of proprietary data rights."



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  1. 1. jtdwyer 04:07 PM 6/16/10

    The last paragraph, discussing keeping mission data private for a year is very disconcerting. NASA has previously made its data public since, after all, we taxpayers finance NASA. Jon Morse, director da da da da - NASA, did a good job of justifying keeping the data private for continued verification but then added:

    "Folks in this room understand the concept of proprietary data rights."

    Yeah, well the folks in at least one other room understand what distinguishes public data from proprietary data and how the government employee/contractor researchers at NASA hope to further their own personal careers by the publication of research based on this publicly funded 'proprietary' data! This is appalling!

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  2. 2. Acoyauh 05:10 PM 6/16/10

    Agree with jtdwyer. NASAs policy requires astronomers to release their data from instruments like the Hubble and Kepler spacecrafts within a year.
    While I don't blame the Kepler team for wanting the credit of at least some of the discoveries that will come from this (they've been working at this for, what, 10 years?), that comment on data ownership does seem very out of place coming from him.

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  3. 3. bhoffman 10:21 AM 6/17/10

    This is a tricky matter. The unspoken subtext here is that a lot of scientists will want to be the discoverer of the first extra-solar terrestrial planet. Do we want it to be a confirmed planet from the Kepler team or someone's lucky guess from the initial data that is later confirmed by Kepler? My own feeling of fairness is to let this dedicated team at least have a good shot at analyzing the data before it goes to a wider population with a wider range of motives.

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  4. 4. jtdwyer in reply to bhoffman 11:31 AM 6/17/10

    bhoffman - understandable, but the objectionable spoken text is the inference that NASA projects are producing proprietary information. A researcher working for a large private company sometimes finds their personal efforts attributed to more senior researchers. I know of quite a few corporate patents that are attributed to corporate executives. Proprietary information is generally the property of the organization that financed its development, not those whose efforts produce it.

    Again, the delay seemed reasonably justified until the NASA administrator threw in the 'proprietary' hook for his immediate audience, apparently ignoring taxpayers' interests...

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  5. 5. Quinn the Eskimo 01:40 AM 6/19/10

    Just one more reason that NASA has evolved into a useless organization -- with no mission -- and nowhere to go.

    Google "granfalloon" (hint: useless organization).

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  6. 6. frankboase 07:27 AM 6/19/10

    Why is it necessary for the planet to orbit it's 'sun' once a year?
    If it takes more or less time it only means the 'year' is shorter or longer.

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  7. 7. jbeale in reply to jtdwyer 12:20 PM 6/19/10

    > This is appalling!
    If you are appalled at the very concept of a "proprietary term" for data, I think you are appalled at most of professional astronomy. The debate is about whether the standard 1-year proprietary term can be extended through the Summer observing season, which by the news I've seen the majority of astronomers support, even as they are itching to get their hands on data for those 400 stars.

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  8. 8. Daniel35 01:04 PM 6/19/10

    This will all have more meaning when we find exopeople who can communicate with us, preferably by "subspace", to reduce the time lag.

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  9. 9. jtdwyer in reply to jbeale 06:11 PM 6/19/10

    jbeale - Have you also surveyed the taxpayers? Regardless of how the astronomers feel about it, it is the taxpayers are providing NASA's funding. Any data produced is not a personal entitlement of public employees or contractors, even if they are world famous professional astronomers.

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  10. 10. jack.123 09:46 PM 6/19/10

    It doesn't make any difference who's grabbing for the money it's who you know,and not what you know,jtdwyer you are right it belongs to the U.S. taxpayer's,but what describes what who the taxpayer is ?What agency?It could take years in the courts to decide what belongs to who and by then it will be public.In the end it is a race to discover the first real Earth like planet,same distance same weight,and the colours of life,and the same type sun.in the end those who do this first will win a nobel prize,and the adwarder's don't care about NASA ,and will in the end will adward it to a world base organization out side of the U.S..

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