Making Carbon Markets Work (extended version)

Limiting climate change without damaging the world economy depends on stronger and smarter market signals to regulate carbon dioxide















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More changes are already underway. The U.K.’s own emission trading system has ended and is now supplanted by the E.U.’s emissions trading scheme; at this writing a new national market has just started in Australia; one may soon appear in Canada, and two state-based trading systems are under development in the northeastern United States and in the west coast states. 

A note on the data: the N.S.W. market does not release prices; instead, we infer a price ceiling from the penalty for non-compliance in the system, the maximum amount a market participant would pay to buy a carbon credit. The clean development mechanism does not release prices for all projects, so we only display a subset of those projects for which we were able to obtain price estimates from an industry group, PointCarbon. Clean development mechanism data points represent individual clean development mechanism projects; all other market data is monthly trading volumes and weighted prices.—D.G.V. and D.C.

Data on prices and volumes comes from the individual markets, the World Bank Carbon Finance Unit, and PointCarbon, a private sector carbon market analyst.

KEY:
E.U. ETS = European Union Emission Trading Scheme, a legally binding regional market.
CDM = Kyoto Protocol Clean Development Mechanism, an international offsets market.
U.K. ETS = United Kingdom Emissions Trading Scheme, a voluntary market.
N.S.W. = New South Wales Greenhouse Gas Reduction Scheme, a voluntary market.
CCX = Chicago Climate Exchange, a voluntary U.S. market.

FIGURE 3: State-Based Climate and Renewable Energy Policies in the United States
Twenty-five states and the District of Columbia have independently enacted a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), which require that a certain portion of the state’s energy consumption come from renewable energy. The magnitudes of RPS requirements, and the definition of what counts as “renewable,” varies from state to state, but in most these policies have encouraged substantial investment in new energy forms. Wind power, especially, has benefited from these policies; other electricity generation technologies, such as biomass, and solar thermal and solar photovoltaic systems, are poised to take advantage of RPS requirements as well.

In the absence of meaningful federal action, two groups of states have gone beyond RPS and enacted direct climate policies. Ten northeastern states have formed the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a mandatory program that caps greenhouse gas emissions. Member states will allocate emissions credits, much like was done in the European Union’s carbon trading program, and trade between one another. Meanwhile, several western states led by California, have recently announced the Western Climate Initiative (WCI). This nascent program aims to establish a regional carbon trading market similar to RGGI. The WCI also includes two Canadian provinces, British Columbia and Manitoba. Both efforts are still forming the rules that will govern their operation, including rules on whether overseas “offsets,” such as the clean development mechanism, will be legal tender.—D.G.V. and D.C.

Data for state RPS policies comes from the North Carolina Solar Center’s Database of State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency (DSIRE). The map in the figure was provided by GIS data from the United States Geological Survey’s National Atlas. Information on state climate policies comes from those groups’ websites, and Joshua Bushinsky of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change.



ABOUT THE AUTHOR(S)

The Authors
David G. Victor and Danny Cullenward work at Stanford University's Program on Energy and Sustainable Development (PESD), which is sponsored by BP and the Electric Power Research Institute. Victor, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a professor of law, is the director of PESD, where Cullenward is a research associate. They have collaborated on numerous topics, including an estimation of the greenhouse gas emissions from hydroelectric dams in tropical regions of the globe.


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  1. 1. vulcan_alex 01:24 AM 11/29/07

    This type of system will just make undeveloped countries more competitive, now if the credits are only within a country or group it might be OK. In addition positive action to reduce our impact on the environment and to mitigate the effects are required. These credits do nothing in these areas.

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  2. 2. Dreessen 04:06 PM 12/1/07

    Question: To mesh a carbon tax with cap-and-trade, should the government not put a MINIMUM price on carbon, not a ceiling, as the article asserts? (Ref. 3rd para. under 'A Four-Step Plan.')

    E.D.
    Ottawa
    Canada

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  3. 3. Dreessen 04:17 PM 12/1/07

    Clicking on the links to the Figures brings one to a slide show on endangered birds!

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  4. 4. Duane Pendergast 03:28 PM 12/20/07

    Deleted and replaced with revised version

    --
    Edited by Duane Pendergast at 12/21/2007 10:36 AM

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  5. 5. Duane Pendergast 03:47 PM 12/21/07

    This is an excellent discussion and review of carbon trading concepts and initiatives.

    There is, however, no discussion of market possibilities to encourage removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Perhaps this is a consequence of the common assumption that it is better to capture emissions at source rather than try to deal with them after release.

    The sidebar on "The Carbon Trade" focuses on cap and trade and so-called "offset exchange" in connection with the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). I find the use of "offset" in that context somewhat of a misnomer as the carbon emissions discussed may not be offset in the usual sense. In the example discussed, it is implied that emissions from the developed countries will be compensated by reductions in emissions in developing countries. I suspect the reality in practice will be that increasing emissions from the developed countries will support projects in developing countries which will have somewhat lower emissions than might have occurred without CDM. The total net result will be increased carbon dioxide emissions.

    There is developing recognition of a concept that would actually remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and convert it to durable char or charcoal, which could then be used to sequester carbon in soil. Some researchers believe the sequestered carbon will play an additional role by significantly improving soil fertility. Interested readers can find information on this concept by searching for "terra preta" on the WWW.

    Perhaps policy makers should relax their dogged focus on reducing CO2 emissions and consider the possibility they may constitute an opportunity to enhance the environment for life on earth.

    Duane Pendergast

    --
    Edited by Duane Pendergast at 12/21/2007 10:29 AM

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  6. 6. erichj 05:25 PM 12/22/07

    Sorry for double post

    --
    Edited by erichj at 12/22/2007 10:28 AM

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  7. 7. erichj 05:33 PM 12/22/07

    I thought this ubiquitous carbon sink might interest you. Here's the current news and links on Terra Preta (TP)soils and closed-loop pyrolysis of Biomass, this integrated virtuous cycle could sequester 100s of Billions of tons of carbon to the soils.



    Terra Preta Soils Technology To Master the Carbon Cycle

    This technology represents the most comprehensive, low cost, and productive approach to long term stewardship and sustainability.Terra Preta Soils a process for Carbon Negative Bio fuels, massive Carbon sequestration, 1/3 Lower CH4 & N2O soil emissions, and 3X Fertility Too.


    UN Climate Change Conference: Biochar present at the Bali Conference

    http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/steinerbalinov2107



    SCIAM Article May 15 07;

    http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=5670236C-E7F2-99DF-3E2163B9FB144E40

    After many years of reviewing solutions to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) I believe this technology can manage Carbon for the greatest collective benefit at the lowest economic price, on vast scales. It just needs to be seen by ethical globally minded companies.

    Could you please consider looking for a champion for this orphaned Terra Preta Carbon Soil Technology.

    The main hurtle now is to change the current perspective held by the IPCC that the soil carbon cycle is a wash, to one in which soil can be used as a massive and ubiquitous Carbon sink via Charcoal. Below are the first concrete steps in that direction;

    S.1884  The Salazar Harvesting Energy Act of 2007

    A Summary of Biochar Provisions in S.1884:

    Carbon-Negative Biomass Energy and Soil Quality Initiative

    for the 2007 Farm Bill

    http://www.biochar-international.org/newinformationevents/newlegislation.html
    If you have any other questions please feel free to call me or visit the TP web site I've been drafted to co-administer. http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/?q=node

    It has been immensely gratifying to see all the major players join the mail list , Cornell folks, T. Beer of Kings Ford Charcoal (Clorox), Novozyne the M-Roots guys(fungus), chemical engineers, Dr. Danny Day of EPRIDA , Dr. Antal of U. of H., Virginia Tech folks and probably many others who's back round I don't know have joined.
    If pre-Columbian Kayopo Indians could produce these soils up to 6 feet deep over 15% of the Amazon basin using "Slash & CHAR" verses "Slash & Burn", it seems that our energy and agricultural industries could also product them at scale.

    Harnessing the work of this vast number of microbes and fungi changes the whole equation of energy return over energy input (EROEI) for food and Bio fuels. I see this as the only sustainable agricultural strategy if we no longer have cheap fossil fuels for fertilizer.

    We need this super community of wee beasties to work in concert with us by populating them into their proper Soil horizon Carbon Condos.


    Erich J. Knight
    Shenandoah Gardens
    1047 Dave Berry Rd.
    McGaheysville, VA. 22840
    (540) 289-9750
    shengar@aol.com

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  8. 8. suresh10in 01:47 AM 2/9/10

    who can deny the politics behind the science of climate ,and how some thinktanks with funding support from north influence policies .is the finding of IPCC on glcier melts the tip of the iceberg of the science hoodo act to serve the interests of the developed world. why not the north show the lead in changing life styles and social systems to suit the ethics and economics of sustainable resource use and development.
    no one can deny the economic advantage to the west in carbon trade while continuing to pollute.the advantage to the less developed is inflated and projected while the cost benefit in real terms favours the more developed .the developing world is increasingly being depicted as more responsible for future pollution. the science behind the future scenarios are highly dubious and influenced by vested intersts through funding support and peer pressure.
    china and india are being shown as villains through data manipulation and GCM computer dta are being used for this jugglery. the world bodies are being hijacked partly for this ,and pachauri is suitably awarded. the very architects of the carbon trading have finally backed out of the protocol so that their interests are best served both ways,and scuttling that of competitors and potential growth centers.the credits are loaded in favour of the west through science and technology fixes . the world bodies are toeing the line for funds. what is needed is not more of the same but a drastic relook at the western model of growth and development through resource exploitation and depletion ,and focus on economics at the cost of ecology ,in real terms ,while making it appear as if the south is more obsessed with growth than environment through a game of data manipulation and jugglery of all sorts.it is high time that the politics of climate is called off through more transparent science. the developing world needs to be equipped and oriented towards this through support structures and a process of relearning

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  9. 9. derrek.kerner 03:12 PM 3/22/11

    We'll review the basic types of car auctions, give the pros and cons of each auto auction, the scams you may encounter, how to tell if a car has been damaged and repaired, or flooded. We'll help you answer the question "should I try to buy a car from an auto auction?". You'll also find the most comprehensive resource on the web with information on car title checks, spotting stolen cars, flooded cars, and rebuilt wrecks, airbag and other scams to avoid.

    auto auctions

    <a href="http://www.gov-auctions.org" rel="dofollow">auto auctions</a>

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  10. 10. derrek.kerner 03:14 PM 3/22/11

    We'll review the basic types of car auctions, give the pros and cons of each auto auction, the scams you may encounter, how to tell if a car has been damaged and repaired, or flooded. We'll help you answer the question "should I try to buy a car from an auto auction?". You'll also find the most comprehensive resource on the web with information on car title checks, spotting stolen cars, flooded cars, and rebuilt wrecks, airbag and other scams to avoid.

    auto auctions
    <a href="http://www.gov-auctions.org" rel="dofollow">auto auctions</a>

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
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