Scrutinizing Swamp Gas: Model Helps Predict Global Wetland Greenhouse Emissions

Researchers develop a new model to describe the correlation between wetland water levels and temperature, and methane production















Share on Tumblr

natural-emissions-methane-wetlands-flooding

NATURAL GAS: Researchers develop a model to understand methane emissions from wetlands, which are the biggest natural source of the potent greenhouse gas. Image: ISTOCK/JONATHANLESAGE

Methane ranks only behind water vapor and carbon dioxide among principal greenhouse gases, in terms of its abundance and global warming potential. Even though it is less abundant and has a shorter lifetime in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide, methane in the atmosphere accounts for nearly 20 percent of the heating effect of greenhouse gases compared with carbon dioxide's 50 percent. And similar to CO2, methane in the atmosphere emanates from both anthropogenic and natural sources.

Scientists have a decent understanding of the extent of anthropogenic methane emissions from sources such as landfills, livestock and fossil-fuel production, which altogether account for 60 percent of the gas's production. It has been tricky, however, to track its release from its major natural source—wetlands.

Wetlands are thought to be responsible for 70 percent of global atmospheric methane from natural sources—but not all wetlands are created equal. Water level, soil temperature, vegetation and topography all affect a wetland's methane production, complicating  estimates of emissions from specific areas.

To try and clarify these estimates, a group of researchers recently created a model to predict wetland methane emissions from different geographic regions using the two most important properties affecting these discharges: water level and soil temperature. The team developed a model, using satellite and weather data, to explain the relationship between these two wetland properties and methane emissions. Then the researchers applied the model to estimate how much of the gas is emitted from wetlands areas, such as those in the tropics.

At the heart of the approach are data from NASA's twin GRACE satellites, which measure changes in Earth's gravity. "The gravity measurements are incredibly useful in trying to look at methane emissions," says Paul Palmer, a geoscientist at the University of Edinburgh in Scotland and one of the authors of a paper on the model, detailed in the January 15 Science.

Traditionally, gravity measurements have been used to determine variations in the extent of groundwater. In flooded areas, which include many tropical wetland areas such as in the Amazon and Congo, groundwater level can also be correlated with methane emissions. This is because methane-producing bacteria, known as methanogens, live in groundwater and can release methane directly into the atmosphere when water rises above soil.

In addition to the GRACE data as a measure of wetland water levels, Palmer and his colleagues used weather data from both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Centers for Environmental Prediction and the National Center for Atmospheric Research as a proxy for soil temperature—the other important wetland property. The modeling focused on determining the relationships among the weather information, water levels (based on GRACE data) and atmospheric methane levels during 10-day periods from 2003 to 2007 for areas measuring 350 square kilometers square. Information about the methane came from the European Space Agency's SCIAMACHY spectrographic satellite. Among other findings, the results showed that emissions increased by about 2 percent from 2003 to 2007, which Palmer says is important because tropical areas accounts for about 55 percent of worldwide wetland methane emissions.

The team's model also confirmed a relationship that other scientists had suspected: In tropical regions where the temperature is fairly constant, approximations of water level fluctuations are a better indicator than surface temperature of methane emissions. At higher latitudes more than 30 degrees above or below the equator, however, the surface temperature is a more important determinant of methane wetland emissions.

"The real contribution is [the researchers] could actually find a relationship between these parameters and methane [in the atmosphere]," says John Melack, an Earth scientist and remote sensing specialist at the University of California, Santa Barbara. Although Melack was not involved in the research, he said he gave the authors feedback when they were writing the paper.

The model could stand some improvements to make it more useful for inferring wetland methane emissions, says Elaine Matthews, a physical scientist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City. According to Matthews, the authors made a "huge leap" in using GRACE satellite data. This information is only useful in flooded areas but, as Matthews points out, only about two thirds of the world's wetlands are flooded at a given time. She suggests including data from a microwave-based satellite called the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) developed at NASA Goddard in New York City , which detects water above the soil.

Although the model offers a new way to look at methane emissions from wetland areas, it does not necessarily point to solutions for regulating it—such as draining wetlands in flooded areas. "It's difficult to argue for that because there are groups promoting [wetland] preservation," says Changyong Cao, a satellite research scientist at NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. Instead, models that try to map methane emissions could help scientists in turn make better models for understanding climate change.



10 Comments

Add Comment
View
  1. 1. Shoshin 11:08 AM 1/22/10

    War on Methane coming.

    Everyone pucker up.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  2. 2. tharriss 12:20 PM 1/22/10

    Wow, that is brilliant Shoshin... I'm impressed.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  3. 3. tman88 04:43 PM 1/22/10

    So... the environment is bad for the environment... got a love those "scientists".

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  4. 4. tman88 04:44 PM 1/22/10

    So... the environment is BAD for the environment... got to love the "scientists".

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  5. 5. Shoshin 04:55 PM 1/22/10

    tharriss:

    SCIAM's irrational reverence for the AGW theology brings this commentary on itself. According to SCIAM, every passing of gas, no matter how slight is cause for concern...

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  6. 6. Jürgen Hubert 03:18 AM 1/23/10

    *Sigh*

    Global Warming Deniers always tell us that "more research is needed". And when scientists do that further research, they get mocked and derided for _that_ as well.

    It's almost as if they don't _want_ anyone to understand atmospheric processes...

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  7. 7. Shoshin 10:16 AM 1/23/10

    Jurgen Hurbert:

    *Sigh*

    Global Warming True Believers always wonder why all people do not just suspend disbelief and stop asking "inconvenient" questions.

    It's almost as if they don't want to risk having somebody ask the wrong question....

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  8. 8. The Northern Gael 11:07 AM 1/23/10

    More scientific rubbish from men playing with public funding that apparently has no end for this kind of nonsense. But the solution to wetland emmissions are obvious--let's just fill hem all in globally---with more public tax money paying for the project, of course.

    Richard E. Devlin
    New Hampshire, USA

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  9. 9. Jürgen Hubert in reply to Shoshin 01:33 AM 1/24/10

    "Global Warming True Believers always wonder why all people do not just suspend disbelief and stop asking "inconvenient" questions."

    What "inconvenient questions"? All I see here is mockery, not questions.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
  10. 10. Shoshin 02:16 PM 1/24/10

    Jurgen Hubert:

    I see only your hypocrisy. When you deride and use inflammatory labels against people that appears to be fair game in your mind.

    When someone slams you back you cry "Foul!"

    Explain to me where I'm missing something.

    As to inconvenient questions:

    www.americanthinker.com/2010/01/climategate_cru_was_but_the_ti.html

    Explain also this apparent data cooking going on at GISS and NOAA. I only say apparent to be polite. Do you really believe it to be only coinicidence that the further this whole AGW mess is explored the uglier and messier it gets?

    I don't.

    Reply | Report Abuse | Link to this
Leave this field empty

Add a Comment

You must sign in or register as a ScientificAmerican.com member to submit a comment.
Click one of the buttons below to register using an existing Social Account.

More from Scientific American

See what we're tweeting about

Scientific American Editors

More »

Free Newsletters


Get the best from Scientific American in your inbox

Solve Innovation Challenges

Powered By: Innocentive

  SA Digital
  SA Digital

Email this Article

Scrutinizing Swamp Gas: Model Helps Predict Global Wetland Greenhouse Emissions

X
Scientific American Magazine

Subscribe Today

Save 66% off the cover price and get a free gift!

Learn More >>

X

Please Log In

Forgot: Password

X

Account Linking

Welcome, . Do you have an existing ScientificAmerican.com account?

Yes, please link my existing account with for quick, secure access.



Forgot Password?

No, I would like to create a new account with my profile information.

Create Account
X

Report Abuse

Are you sure?

X

Institutional Access

It has been identified that the institution you are trying to access this article from has institutional site license access to Scientific American on nature.com. To access this article in its entirety through site license access, click below.

Site license access
X

Error

X

Share this Article

X