From the September 1999 Scientific American Magazine | 0 comments

The Coming Merging of Mind and Machine ( Preview )

The accelerating pace of technological progress means that our intelligent creations will soon eclipse us--and that their creations will eventually eclipse them.

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September
1999 Issue
By the Numbers U.S. IMMIGRATION
Letters to the Editors Letters
Science and the Citizen SKEWING THE COSMIC BELL CURVE
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Sometime early in the next century, the intelligence of machines will exceed that of humans. Within several decades, machines will exhibit the full range of human intellect, emotions and skills, ranging from musical and other creative aptitudes to physical movement. They will claim to have feelings and, unlike today's virtual personalities, will be very convincing when they tell us so. By 2019 a $1,000 computer will at least match the processing power of the human brain. By 2029 the software for intelligence will have been largely mastered, and the average personal computer will be equivalent to 1,000 brains.

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