The National Science Foundation (NSF) is likely to cancel the US Antarctic program’s upcoming field season if the US government shutdown persists through mid-October—jeopardizing hundreds of scientists’ work in glaciology, ecology and astrophysics.
The agency has kept its three Antarctic research stations open during the initial days of the shutdown, which began on October 1, under rules designed to protect human lives and US government property. But Lockheed Martin, the contractor that runs the NSF’s Antarctic operations, has told researchers that it will run out of money by mid-October.
At that point, the company would be forced to evacuate all but a skeleton staff from McMurdo, Amundsen–Scott and Palmer stations. And that would spell the end to this year’s research season, which normally runs from October to February.
Research casualties"We are in a major planning mode to begin an orderly transition to caretaker mode at the stations," a Lockheed official wrote in an October 4 e-mail to researchers. "A decision will be made early next week." A spokeswoman for Lockheed Martin’s Antarctic operations, based in Denver, Colo., declined to comment on the matter, and officials at the NSF—where some 98.5 percent of employees have been ordered to stay home until the shutdown ends—did not respond to Nature’s requests for comment.
Researchers are devastated. Many have already been forced to cut back or delay their research projects because of the U.S. government’s 5.1 percent across-the-board ‘sequestration’ that took effect on March 1.
The prospect of losing an entire Antarctic field season is “just hell”, says Diana Wall, an ecologist at Colorado State University in Fort Collins. Since 1989, she has tracked fluctuations in the populations of nematodes, mites and other soil dwellers in Antarctica’s Dry Valleys. “If we are not there to capture the demographics this year, our whole data set could be unintelligible.”
Another casualty would be Operation IceBridge, an aerial NASA campaign to map ice sheets in remote parts of Antarctica. This is the first year that IceBridge’s Antarctic flights have operated out of McMurdo station, rather than Punta Arenas, Chile. The move was designed to expand the areas that researchers can reach using NASA’s P-3 aircraft, which carries instruments to measure the height of the ice sheet and to detect the depth of water trapped below it. “This was going to be our chance to see the ice sheet in a way that had never been done before,” says Robin Bell, a glaciologist at Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades, N.Y.
Even a delayed start to this year’s field season could harm IceBridge. It takes a week to install instruments on the NASA P-3, a process that did not start today as planned. It takes another week to transport the 10 IceBridge researchers to Antarctica. McMurdo station’s sea-ice runway closes for the summer on 28 November, although researchers may be able to switch operations to a year-round ice runway near the station.
Also affected would be the study of Antarctica’s subglacial lakes, pristine environments that have been isolated for millions of years. Ross Powell, a geologist at Northern Illinois University in DeKalb, had planned to continue his study of Lake Whillans, a body of water trapped 800 meters under a glacier. Earlier this year, a drilling expedition reached the lake, and researchers found communities of bacteria. Powell is now trying to understand how isolated the lake is—whether it connects to nearby subglacial streams, and how that network of water affects the glacier’s flow into the Ross Sea.