Latin America and the Caribbean could meet 100 percent of their electricity needs with renewable energy, a new Inter-American Development Bank study finds.
From Mexico to Chile, countries already are producing higher levels of clean power, but the study notes the region still has a long way to go. Last year just 5.4 percent of the $244 trillion global renewable energy investment went to Latin America.
But with Latin America's economy expected to grow 3 percent annually, the study argues that the region will need to nearly double its installed power capacity to about 600 gigawatts by 2030 at a likely price tag of $430 billion.
"This represents a challenge to the region's energy model, but also an opportunity to redefine and transform it," the authors wrote.
Walter Vergara, lead author of the study and the IDB's chief of sustainable energy and climate change, argued that Latin America could even produce energy with renewables to export, while providing jobs as well as environmental benefits. But, Vergara added, countries are held back by what he called the "myths" that renewables are a luxury the region can't afford without aid and that policies to promote renewable energy come at a high economic cost.
"I think the momentum is changing. That is not to say everything will change tomorrow, but there is a global momentum based on the fact that the region understands that there are many advantages, including job generation, energy security, environmental advantages, climate change advantages and technology development," Vergara said.
"All countries in Latin America have a positive outlook," he said. "Some are better than others, but I think we have to see these as opportunities to integrate the power sector and enable better penetration."
Growing power needs may force fuel imports
The report, "Rethinking Our Energy Future," will be released today at a Global Green Growth Forum meeting in Bogota, Colombia. It comes amid growing concern among energy experts that the region is not living up to its clean energy potential.
Last week the Worldwatch Institute think tank in Washington, D.C., unveiled a Central America report also showing the region has the resources and the technical capacity to meet all its electricity needs with renewables. But, it argues, governments are undermining their own investments in geothermal, biomass, wind and solar with plans to increase imports of oil, coal and natural gas.
"Central America is at a crossroads," Alexander Ochs, director of climate and energy at the Worldwatch Institute, said in the study.
According to the study, Latin America currently generates about 7 percent of the world's total electricity production, but demand is skyrocketing as population levels rise and the region's economy improves. By midcentury, Latin America's power demand is expected to triple while carbon emissions from the power sector will double.
Even though coal and oil are only slivers of the region's energy matrix, the report notes that the share of fossil fuels in Latin America's power mix -- particularly natural gas -- could rise to 40 percent by 2050, even as the share of hydropower dips.
Some movement to solar
Meanwhile, the report notes that a number of countries have installed large-scale solar photovoltaic systems and about 2 GW could be installed across Latin America by 2016. Wind capacity in Latin America reached 3.5 GW last year, an increase of 53 percent compared with the previous year, and countries like Mexico, El Salvador and Guatemala are ramping up geothermal.
Feed-in tariffs also are becoming more popular. The study notes that in the past decade, Argentina, Brazil, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Honduras and Nicaragua have instituted some type of advanced renewable energy payments with in recent years a "strong trend" toward competitive bidding in some of those same countries and others.
The report, though, argues for a new energy market that involves a different mix of generator types, flexible technologies, and a reform of electricity market regulations and policies to give renewable energies "a truly level playing field" with fossil fuels.
The authors noted, "Countries and regions that take the lead in developing these new energy sources will have first-mover advantage in one of the world's fastest growing economic sectors -- reaping the economic growth and job creation that will flow from it."
Reprinted from Climatewire with permission from Environment & Energy Publishing, LLC. www.eenews.net, 202-628-6500