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Are Pigs Bringing the Flu to Your State? Researchers Map Influenza Spread by Hogs [Animation]

New animations show how various strains of the flu travel across the U.S. to mingle in the major hog production centers in the Midwest, suggesting strategies to monitor for future pandemics
map of swine flu spread



Nelson/Lemey/Tan/Vincent/Lam

MALTA—For millions of U.S. pigs, their short lives are going to be full of travel. Born in one state, fattened and slaughtered in another, these hogs get around. And so, too, do their infections.

As carriers—and fertile mixing grounds—for influenza A strains that could cause illness or even pandemic in humans, hogs are important subjects for flu researchers. But with such a massive industry across the U.S., scientists are only just starting to get a handle on this continual mingling of various stocks of hogs and viruses, Martha Nelson, a researcher at the Fogarty International Center at the National Institutes of Health, explained earlier this month at the fourth European Working Group on Influenza conference in Malta. (See Scientific American's article "Flu Factories" from January 2011 for more about how influenza circulates in hog farms.)

And the infections don't just go one direction. Pigs can catch human strains as well, and influenza is one of the most costly porcine pathogens for the $19-billion, 113-million-hog U.S. industry. In the past few decades early pig rearing has moved to the south-central and southeastern U.S., from where hogs are shipped to the corn-rich states in the Midwest for fattening and processing. (It's a lot cheaper to ship the pigs to the corn than vice versa, Nelson pointed out at the meeting.) Nelson and a group of colleagues described this process in more detail in a June PLoS Pathogens paper.

For the study, they analyzed the genetics of more than 1,500 hemagglutinin (HA1) sequences collected over the course of seven years. Nelson and her colleagues found that flu in pigs "follows long-distance swine movements from the southern U.S. to the Midwest," with most of the human-origin H1N1 arriving at Midwest hog farms coming from the Southeast, and most of the swine-origin H1N2 coming from the south-central U.S.

And that means the Midwest, as the final destination for many of these pigs, is "likely to provide a reservoir for multiple genetically distinct variants to co-circulate and exchange segments via re-assortment because of the continual importation of swine influenza viruses from other regions," the researchers noted. In other words, the big pig centers in the midwestern parts of the country become pools of various strains of the virus, giving it more opportunities to swap genes and potentially turn into more harmful, more easily transmitted varieties that could go pandemic in people.

Nelson and her colleagues created animations that show the spread of the virus among traveling pigs. The lines show the path of swine influenza H1N2 along common hog routes over time. The swelling circles represent the amount of human-origin influenza in swine population, "with the viral populations increasing first in Oklahoma and then in Minnesota and Iowa," as pigs move from the south-central to the Midwest.

 

 

 

             

 



In a second animation, the path of swine influenza H1N1 is traced over time from its origins in the Southeast's hog farms.

 

 

 

 

             

 



"Understanding the importance of long-distance pig transportation in the evolution and spatial dissemination of the influenza virus in swine may inform future strategies for the surveillance and control of influenza," Nelson and her colleagues concluded in their paper.

Want to find out more about where your state's hogs, cattle and sheep are coming from? Check out the U.S. Department of Agriculture's "Interstate Livestock Movements: State-to-State Flows" interactive maps to search by state and animal.


Animations courtesy of Nelson MI, Lemey P, Tan Y, Vincent A, Lam TT-Y, et al.

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