60-Second Earth

Climate Forecasts for All

International agencies are coming together to provide climate forecasting to countries without it, particularly because they may be hardest hit. David Biello reports














Share on Tumblr

Listen to this Podcast

[Below is the original script. But a few changes may have been made during the recording of this audio podcast.]

Global warming could transform large swaths of Africa: shifting rains, spreading malaria and other insect borne diseases, even changing the size of the Sahara Desert.

Yet, the bulk of the world's climate forecasting has been concentrated on those regions that host the supercomputers that can do it: the U.S., Europe and the rest of the developed world. 

That's set to change. Meeting for just the third time since 1979, the World Climate Conference established a framework last week for extending science-based climate predictions to all. Think the weather forecast, only larger. 

This conference is famous for, among other things, creating the International Panel on Climate Change, whose reports have warned the world of accelerating climate change. The goal of this new framework is to better enable all countries to adapt to that future climate.

To that end, it calls for expanded observations of the global climate, public access to climate data, more climate prediction research and a new Climate Services Information System. This will provide local governments with expected changes to water resources, agriculture, fisheries, forests, even health. 

Of course, climate predictions will also guide adaptation to a warmer globe, and even potentially provide early warnings for natural disasters. But they won't be perfect. As Robert Heinlein said, climate is what you expect, weather is what you get.

—David Biello


Comments

Add Comment
Leave this field empty

Add a Comment

You must sign in or register as a ScientificAmerican.com member to submit a comment.
Click one of the buttons below to register using an existing Social Account.

More from Scientific American

See what we're tweeting about

Scientific American Editors

More »

Free Newsletters


Get the best from Scientific American in your inbox

  SA Digital

Latest from SA Blog Network

  SA Digital

Science Jobs of the Week

Email this Article

Climate Forecasts for All

X
Scientific American Magazine

Subscribe Today

Save 66% off the cover price and get a free gift!

Learn More >>

X

Please Log In

Forgot: Password

X

Account Linking

Welcome, . Do you have an existing ScientificAmerican.com account?

Yes, please link my existing account with for quick, secure access.



Forgot Password?

No, I would like to create a new account with my profile information.

Create Account
X

Report Abuse

Are you sure?

X

Institutional Access

It has been identified that the institution you are trying to access this article from has institutional site license access to Scientific American on nature.com. To access this article in its entirety through site license access, click below.

Site license access
X

Error

X

Share this Article

X