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Flu Season Never Came to the Southern Hemisphere

Mask wearing and social distancing for COVID-19 may have cut influenza cases south of the equator

Influenza Cases by Region

Katie Peek

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In March, as coronavirus widened its global sweep, one health statistic quickly flattened: influenza cases. In the Southern Hemisphere, flu season would have been just taking off, but cases were virtually nonexistent. “Never in my 40-year career have we ever seen rates ... so low,” says Greg Poland, an influenza expert at the Mayo Clinic. Although researchers need to study the reasons further, several told Scientific American that coronavirus prevention measures—handwashing, mask wearing and social distancing—are working against flu transmission. If those measures continue, Poland says, countries could see the most dramatic drop in influenza cases in modern human history. U.S. health experts still recommend flu shots, however, because not everyone in the country is observing measures to contain the virus and because COVID-19 could perhaps be more threatening in people who contract flu.

Credit: Katie Peek; Source: FluNet/Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System, World Health Organization (influenza rates)

Katie Peek is a science journalist and data-visualization designer with degrees in astrophysics and journalism. She is a contributing artist for Scientific American.

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Scientific American Magazine Vol 323 Issue 5This article was published with the title “The Missing Flu Season” in Scientific American Magazine Vol. 323 No. 5 (), p. 80
doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1120-80

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