Puzzling Adventures: A Kingdom for My Child -- August 2008 Solution

Join Our Community of Science Lovers!


On supporting science journalism

If you're enjoying this article, consider supporting our award-winning journalism by subscribing. By purchasing a subscription you are helping to ensure the future of impactful stories about the discoveries and ideas shaping our world today.


Solutions:

1. Let's consider again the three children that a family could have and associate the number at which they would stop. (As a thought experiment, we imagine that they have three children in a certain order, but "undo," or send away, the extras once they have a boy.):

000—3
001—3
010—2
011—2
100—1
101—1
110—1
111—1

So, the average number is under two (14/8).

2. Of the eight scenarios above, 6/8 (or 3/4) would have one boy and one girl.

3. We write down the number of children needed to achieve completeness in each case:

000—3
001—3
010—2
011—2
100—2
101—2
110—3
111—3

This gave us an average of 20/8 children per family, or 2.5.

4. If the youngest happened to be a girl, then the others would either both be boys or both girls (otherwise their parents would have stopped already). Therefore, the probability of at least one boy is 1/2.

5. Once again we are, with equal likelihood, in one of these eight family situations. There are 10 girls available (because some families stop before three) and in 7/10 of the cases, there is a boy, so the likelihood is 7/10.

000—3
001—3
01x—2
01x—2
10x—2
10x—2
110—3
111—3

For more on this subject, see Statistics is Easy! by Dennis Shasha and Manda Wilson (Morgan & Claypool, July 2008).

Back to Puzzling Adventures main page

It’s Time to Stand Up for Science

If you enjoyed this article, I’d like to ask for your support. Scientific American has served as an advocate for science and industry for 180 years, and right now may be the most critical moment in that two-century history.

I’ve been a Scientific American subscriber since I was 12 years old, and it helped shape the way I look at the world. SciAm always educates and delights me, and inspires a sense of awe for our vast, beautiful universe. I hope it does that for you, too.

If you subscribe to Scientific American, you help ensure that our coverage is centered on meaningful research and discovery; that we have the resources to report on the decisions that threaten labs across the U.S.; and that we support both budding and working scientists at a time when the value of science itself too often goes unrecognized.

In return, you get essential news, captivating podcasts, brilliant infographics, can't-miss newsletters, must-watch videos, challenging games, and the science world's best writing and reporting. You can even gift someone a subscription.

There has never been a more important time for us to stand up and show why science matters. I hope you’ll support us in that mission.

Thank you,

David M. Ewalt, Editor in Chief, Scientific American

Subscribe