The Illusion of Certainty: Risk, Probability, and Chance [Replay]
From a World Science Festival event at the Tischman Auditorium of the New School in New York City, Friday, June 3, 4:45 P.M. to 6:30 P.M. ET
Editor's note (6/3/11): Technical issues have prevented actual live streaming of the event. A replay instead will be posted later when available.
Stuff happens. The weather forecast says it’s sunny, but you just got drenched. You got a flu shot—but you’re sick in bed with the flu. Your best friend from Boston met your other best friend from San Francisco. Coincidentally. What are the odds?
Risk, probability, chance, coincidence—they play a significant role in the way we make decisions about health, education, relationships and money. But where does this data come from and what does it really mean? How does the brain find patterns and where can these patterns take us? When should we ditch the data and go with our gut? Join us in a captivating discussion that will demystify the chancy side of life.
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Moderator: Marcus du Sautoy
Participants:
Amir Aczel
Gerd Gigerenzer
Leonard Mlodinow
Josh Tenenbaum
Twitter: #WSF11
With live blogging by Boing Boing's Maggie Koerth-Baker, accompanied by WSF’s Maki Naro and Michael J. Kennelly
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