Fewer Big Asteroids Close In on Earth

The WISE spacecraft's census of near-Earth asteroids lowers the population of the big, bad ones. John Matson reports

Join Our Community of Science Lovers!


On supporting science journalism

If you're enjoying this article, consider supporting our award-winning journalism by subscribing. By purchasing a subscription you are helping to ensure the future of impactful stories about the discoveries and ideas shaping our world today.


In a time of budget woes and falling satellites, it's nice to get a little good news from NASA.

A NASA orbiter has found that there are fewer big asteroids passing close to our planet than we thought. Specifically, there are only about 20,500 near-Earth asteroids larger than 100 meters. That sounds like a lot, but previous estimates were about 75 percent higher.

The new, lower figures come from the WISE spacecraft, which surveyed the skies with an infrared camera. WISE only spotted a few hundred nearby asteroids, but that was enough to extrapolate how many are out there. The findings will appear in the Astrophysical Journal. [Amy Mainzer et al., "NEOWISE Observations of Near-Earth Objects: Preliminary Results"]

If a 100-meter asteroid hit Earth, it would be equivalent to exploding an 80-megaton H-bomb. A larger asteroid could stir up huge tsunami waves if it hit the ocean. Luckily no known asteroids pose a real threat to Earth.

But there could still be some out there that are menacing. Astronomers estimate that they have identified only a quarter of near-Earth asteroids 100 meters and up. They still need to find the rest and show that they're not a threat before we're sure to avoid the fate of the dinosaurs.

—John Matson

[The above text is a transcript of this podcast.]

It’s Time to Stand Up for Science

If you enjoyed this article, I’d like to ask for your support. Scientific American has served as an advocate for science and industry for 180 years, and right now may be the most critical moment in that two-century history.

I’ve been a Scientific American subscriber since I was 12 years old, and it helped shape the way I look at the world. SciAm always educates and delights me, and inspires a sense of awe for our vast, beautiful universe. I hope it does that for you, too.

If you subscribe to Scientific American, you help ensure that our coverage is centered on meaningful research and discovery; that we have the resources to report on the decisions that threaten labs across the U.S.; and that we support both budding and working scientists at a time when the value of science itself too often goes unrecognized.

In return, you get essential news, captivating podcasts, brilliant infographics, can't-miss newsletters, must-watch videos, challenging games, and the science world's best writing and reporting. You can even gift someone a subscription.

There has never been a more important time for us to stand up and show why science matters. I hope you’ll support us in that mission.

Thank you,

David M. Ewalt, Editor in Chief, Scientific American

Subscribe