Brutal Heat Wave Will Extend Streak of 100 Days of 100 Degrees F

Summer has been brutally hot in the Southwest, toppling records set just last year, and the heat isn’t over yet

The NWS HeatRisk is an experimental color-numeric-based index that provides a forecast risk of heat-related impacts to occur over a 24-hour period. Minor heat risk is represented by yellow, moderate heat risk is represented by orange, major heat risk is represented by red, and extreme heat risk is represented by magenta. The forecast for Thursday, September 5th, 2024 shows major and extreme heat risk for the majority of western Arizona and central and southern California.

The NWS HeatRisk map for the western U.S. on September 5, 2024.

NOAA/OpenStreetMap (CC BY-SA 2.0)

For the past 100 days in Phoenix, Ariz., the temperature has risen to—and often well above—100 degrees Fahrenheit (37.8 degrees Celsius). In this city and much of the heat-weary Southwest, that streak will last at least a few more days as yet another heat dome settles over the area and sends temperatures soaring.

The heat wave punctuates what has been a record-hot summer for parts of the Southwest, including the major cities of Phoenix and Las Vegas–one that has toppled the previous records for the hottest meteorological summer set in those cities just last year. “It’s kind of rare to see that happen two years in a row,” says Matt Salerno, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service’s (NWS’s) Phoenix office. “That’s quite the feat.” It’s even more startling that the city broke its record from last year by nearly two degrees F (one degree C), with an average temperature of 98.9 degrees F (37.2 degrees C). “That’s incredible, just to think of the average temperature that we’re living in here in Phoenix,” Salerno says.

Las Vegas has also set records by “just about any metric you look at,” says Matt Woods, a meteorologist at the NWS’s Las Vegas office. “It’s been brutal.”


On supporting science journalism

If you're enjoying this article, consider supporting our award-winning journalism by subscribing. By purchasing a subscription you are helping to ensure the future of impactful stories about the discoveries and ideas shaping our world today.


In both cities, the tenor of the heat has been a little different this summer compared with that of last summer. The Southwest started off with a mild June last year, followed by a July that was off the charts, and then things cooled down again late in August when Hurricane Hilary stormed through. This summer hasn’t reached the same peaks as July 2023, but it has been steadily scorching from the jump. In Las Vegas, “we only had six days this summer that had a high temperature below 100 [degrees F],” Woods says. Meanwhile Phoenix’s streak of 100-degree-F days has completely blown past the city’s previous record of 76 such consecutive days, which was set in 1993.

The record-breaking heat of both summers has come from a series of heat waves where masses of hot air that park over an area for days. “We’ve basically had that for the overwhelming majority of the summer,” Woods says. The clear skies that accompany these features mean “land surfaces heat up day after day,” which in turn heats up the air just above the surface, Salerno says. Such heat waves are happening more frequently, lasting longer and becoming more intense because of the excess heat trapped by greenhouse gases that have been generated by burning fossil fuels.

This week’s heat wave won’t be as intense as the one that suffocated the region in July, and it won’t last as long, “but it’s definitely unusual for this time of year,” Woods says. It is extending the amount of time residents are being subjected to conditions that bring a serious risk of illness. “Just because the temperatures aren’t what we saw in July doesn’t meant they aren’t dangerous,” Woods says. In the U.S., extreme heat is deadlier than hurricanes, floods and tornadoes combined.

Those at particular risk of heat exhaustion, heat stroke and other heat-related health problems include very young children, older people, those who have certain existing health conditions or are on particular medications, people who work outside and unhoused individuals. Both Woods and Salerno emphasize the need for all people in any heat wave to stay hydrated, avoid going outside during the peak heat of the day, and seek out shade or air-conditioning when at all possible. Both scientists also warn that people should never leave a child or pet unattended in a car; so far this year, 27 children have died of heat stroke after being left in a vehicle.

“Essentially all heat-related deaths are preventable,” says Kristie Ebi, an epidemiologist who specializes in heat-related health risks. Many cities, including Phoenix, are looking for ways to better warn residents and to reduce deaths and hospitalizations from heat-related illness. The NWS has also been working on better warning practices, including a new experimental tool called HeatRisk that shows locations where heat will be extreme enough to represent a serious health concern.

Though the heat of the day can pose a clear and obvious risk, both Salerno and Woods emphasize that warm nights are an underappreciated threat because they don’t allow the body time to sufficiently cool down. “Everyone likes to look at the high temperatures,” Woods says, but “it’s really the low temperatures that are the silent killer.”

The average overnight low in Phoenix this summer has been 87.5 degrees F (30.8 degrees C)—which beats last summer’s average low of 84.8 degrees F (29.3 degrees C). During this year’s season, there have been 37 days in which the overnight low was at or above 90 degrees F (32.2 degrees C), Salerno says. “Our low temperatures are most places’ high temperatures,” he adds.

And now September is extending this danger and misery, already starting “way above where we should be for this time of year,” Salerno says. Temperatures in Phoenix and the surrounding area could reach above 110 degrees F (43.3 degrees C), and it’s likely this event will push the city past last year’s record of 55 total days with a high of 110 degrees F or higher.

It’s possible that heat could even extend into next week. Last year the final day of 110-degree-F weather in Phoenix was September 10, 2023. (The city’s record latest 110-degree day in a given year was September 19, 2010.) “I hope this is it for the 110-degree heat,” a weary-sounding Salerno says.

Andrea Thompson is senior desk editor for life science at Scientific American, covering the environment, energy and earth sciences. She has been covering these issues for nearly two decades. Prior to joining Scientific American, she was a senior writer covering climate science at Climate Central and a reporter and editor at Live Science, where she primarily covered earth science and the environment. She has moderated panels, including as part of the United Nations Sustainable Development Media Zone, and appeared in radio and television interviews on major networks. She holds a graduate degree in science, health and environmental reporting from New York University, as well as a B.S. and an M.S. in atmospheric chemistry from the Georgia Institute of Technology. Follow Thompson on Bluesky @andreatweather.bsky.social

More by Andrea Thompson

It’s Time to Stand Up for Science

If you enjoyed this article, I’d like to ask for your support. Scientific American has served as an advocate for science and industry for 180 years, and right now may be the most critical moment in that two-century history.

I’ve been a Scientific American subscriber since I was 12 years old, and it helped shape the way I look at the world. SciAm always educates and delights me, and inspires a sense of awe for our vast, beautiful universe. I hope it does that for you, too.

If you subscribe to Scientific American, you help ensure that our coverage is centered on meaningful research and discovery; that we have the resources to report on the decisions that threaten labs across the U.S.; and that we support both budding and working scientists at a time when the value of science itself too often goes unrecognized.

In return, you get essential news, captivating podcasts, brilliant infographics, can't-miss newsletters, must-watch videos, challenging games, and the science world's best writing and reporting. You can even gift someone a subscription.

There has never been a more important time for us to stand up and show why science matters. I hope you’ll support us in that mission.

Thank you,

David M. Ewalt, Editor in Chief, Scientific American

Subscribe